What is the predicted minimum points for Carpenter in Victoria?

The predicted minimum EOI points for Carpenter in Victoria is 68 points (range: 65-73) with 60% confidence.

Carpenter

331212

Victoria (VIC) — Other sector — Assessed by

Victoria uses salary-weighted ranking, not just EOI points

VIC ranks ROIs holistically. A candidate with 80 points + $120K salary will almost always be invited before a candidate with 100 points + $60K salary. The points prediction below is one factor — your salary tier matters more.

Annual Earnings Calculation

Include: Base salary, penalty rates, salary sacrifice
Exclude: Employer super (11.5%), bonuses, overtime

Salary Competitiveness Tiers

$120K+ Strong —$80K-$120K Moderate —<$80K Disadvantaged

2025-26 Allocation: 2,700 (190) + 700 (491) = 3,400 total places. Priority sectors: Healthcare, Social Services, Education, Construction, New Energy, Digital Economy, Advanced Manufacturing.

2025-26 Prediction

68pts predicted minimum

Range

65 – 73 pts

Confidence

60%

Data Points

2 rounds

Adjustment Factors

alloc shrink+3 pts

State Allocations

2025-263,400

2024-255,000

2023-249,000

Federal Program (2025-26)

Total Cap185,000

Skill Stream132,200

Current

Invitation Round History

Round	Points	Stream	EOI Date	Residence
2026-01	60 pts	__none__	—	—
2025-11	70 pts	__none__	—	—